Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.869549 0.977956 1.096107 1.234679 1.393048 1.568739 1.778888
2025-02-02 0.710780 0.859449 1.035036 1.258748 1.537657 1.875810 2.319702
2025-02-09 0.618225 0.783812 0.990006 1.267667 1.634871 2.108133 2.771161
2025-02-16 0.550878 0.725632 0.952778 1.272844 1.717316 2.320232 3.212819
2025-02-23 0.505379 0.688046 0.934483 1.295801 1.819686 2.563501 3.720864
2025-03-02 0.451479 0.631969 0.883241 1.264309 1.837653 2.684441 4.060522
2025-03-09 0.423151 0.608173 0.873601 1.289430 1.937893 2.933205 4.621319
2025-03-16 0.388871 0.571967 0.841637 1.276408 1.976344 3.088311 5.048507
2025-03-23 0.365424 0.549457 0.827421 1.288111 2.052995 3.309633 5.610490
2025-03-30 0.337968 0.518220 0.796649 1.269664 2.077123 3.444689 6.036883
2025-04-06 0.315998 0.493646 0.773993 1.261698 2.116828 3.608506 6.533234
2025-04-13 0.287062 0.455585 0.726414 1.207200 2.069785 3.613253 6.729704
2025-04-20 0.274538 0.443808 0.721683 1.226845 2.158054 3.875363 7.466522
2025-04-27 0.263516 0.433693 0.718911 1.249650 2.254475 4.163798 8.298671
2025-05-04 0.251167 0.420272 0.709190 1.258604 2.325080 4.409362 9.075230
2025-05-11 0.239300 0.406746 0.698101 1.263729 2.388270 4.646404 9.866597
2025-05-18 0.231047 0.398961 0.696551 1.286504 2.488284 4.969279 10.897496
2025-05-25 0.215821 0.377520 0.668455 1.255263 2.474965 5.051674 11.381518
2025-06-01 0.209377 0.371698 0.668843 1.280184 2.580756 5.402706 12.562591
2025-06-08 0.198555 0.356970 0.651295 1.267266 2.604285 5.573432 13.322519
2025-06-15 0.191537 0.348939 0.645967 1.278875 2.682147 5.876176 14.467429
2025-06-22 0.181531 0.334528 0.627168 1.260575 2.691293 6.019083 15.211949
2025-06-29 0.173392 0.323237 0.613775 1.252673 2.723251 6.220043 16.147147